PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

dfgse35

0x8684f97da30ba47a137c4f4ed1f88bfb5415a117

Realised P&L
$389.95
Volume
$10.9k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$0.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on May 7? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$28.50
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C or below on October 9? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$12.06
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on October 9? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$12.43
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 21? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$28.00
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 1? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$27.00
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 13? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$29.00
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $420 in July? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$27.50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 29? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$12.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 15:02Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 30?BUY0.994$5.52
07-06 09:11Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 7?BUY0.988$5.24
06-23 00:33Spread: Jordan (-2.5)BUY0.991$6.97
06-20 02:29Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 21?BUY0.987$22.31
06-11 00:44Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5BUY0.998$7.98
06-02 01:13Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on June 2?BUY0.9501248$11.88
05-28 00:38WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 28?BUY0.95017$9.50
04-21 02:16Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5BUY0.79$11.70
04-11 07:59Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 7.5BUY0.76$16.04
03-26 13:08Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5BUY0.7362068966$21.35
03-26 13:06Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5BUY0.73$73.00
03-26 13:02Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5BUY0.72$202.32
03-26 13:01Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5BUY0.72$626.40
02-19 15:49Will Paradex launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.9666526892$1.1k
02-09 13:16Will Meta (META) finish week of February 9 above $610?BUY0.976$1.7k