dfgse35
0x8684f97da30ba47a137c4f4ed1f88bfb5415a117
- Realised P&L
- $389.95
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on May 7? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C or below on October 9? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 35°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.43 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on May 21? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 1? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.00 |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 13? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $420 in July? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$27.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 29? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.73at 0.721Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5
- +$28.33at 0.500Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on May 7?
- +$26.68at 0.500Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 on May 13?
- +$26.68at 0.500Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 1?
- +$26.68at 0.500Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $420 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 15:02 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $5.52 |
| 07-06 09:11 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 7? | BUY | 0.988 | $5.24 |
| 06-23 00:33 | Spread: Jordan (-2.5) | BUY | 0.991 | $6.97 |
| 06-20 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 43°C on June 21? | BUY | 0.987 | $22.31 |
| 06-11 00:44 | Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.998 | $7.98 |
| 06-02 01:13 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $275 on June 2? | BUY | 0.9501248 | $11.88 |
| 05-28 00:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 28? | BUY | 0.95017 | $9.50 |
| 04-21 02:16 | Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.79 | $11.70 |
| 04-11 07:59 | Rangers vs. Stars: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.76 | $16.04 |
| 03-26 13:08 | Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.7362068966 | $21.35 |
| 03-26 13:06 | Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.73 | $73.00 |
| 03-26 13:02 | Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.72 | $202.32 |
| 03-26 13:01 | Kraken vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.72 | $626.40 |
| 02-19 15:49 | Will Paradex launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.9666526892 | $1.1k |
| 02-09 13:16 | Will Meta (META) finish week of February 9 above $610? | BUY | 0.976 | $1.7k |