NimbleBanana1317
0x867fdd552679b9e0664467172de6c4f3cfe52a0e
- Realised P&L
- $-14.22
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $428.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.927 | 0.949 | $425.00 | +$10.00 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.715 | $2.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.80 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 09:56 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 09:56 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.6899996964 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 08:49 | Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 10:52 | Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 10:20 | Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 21:31 | Will the Democrats win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 21:24 | Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9266784537 | $415.00 |
| 10-18 12:37 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3899999932 | $13.80 |