PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x867c71cEa7314A8CDa603e36f26599e5DFb3f915-1778147913673

0x867c71cea7314a8cda603e36f26599e5dfb3f915

Realised P&L
$-9.80
Volume
$5.7k
Markets traded
153
Open portfolio
$27.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded153
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.4710.568$2.30+$0.39
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2500.365$2.26+$0.71
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7000.700$1.92+$0.00
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No0.2710.333$1.77+$0.33
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · No0.2600.255$1.76−$0.03
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.2800.335$1.54+$0.25
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7300.645$1.53−$0.20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.8600.905$1.33+$0.07
UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims) · Karine Silva0.6200.635$1.32+$0.03
Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? · No0.3300.330$1.24+$0.00
Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat? · No0.4500.445$1.23−$0.01
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4900.475$1.22−$0.04
Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 6.5 · Yes0.6100.605$1.20−$0.01
Spread: Commanders (-6.5) · Eagles0.5400.535$1.20−$0.01
Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5 · Yes0.5600.505$1.17−$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:04Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election?BUY0.3$1.20
11-01 23:47Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?BUY0.459999962$1.21
11-01 22:45Spread: Commanders (-6.5)BUY0.5399999375$1.21
11-01 21:49Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 6.5BUY0.6099998639$1.21
11-01 20:51Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)SELL0.999$2.59
11-01 20:45Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?BUY0.4499999274$1.24
11-01 20:35Spread: Steelers (-3.5)SELL0.991$2.48
11-01 19:31UFC Fight Night: Karine Silva vs. Gabriella Fernandes (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)BUY0.6199998654$1.29
11-01 18:34Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?BUY0.3299999787$1.24
11-01 18:19Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.99$2.74
11-01 18:13Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.99$2.89
11-01 17:41Julius Randle: Points O/U 20.5BUY0.5599998966$1.30
11-01 16:12Raiders vs. JetsBUY0.539999966$1.27
11-01 15:52Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)BUY0.4899999498$1.27
11-01 15:06Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4899999183$1.26