0x867966b8f1d24b5181c55dc2d3927098b0ea85fc
0x867966b8f1d24b5181c55dc2d3927098b0ea85fc
- Realised P&L
- $-894.54
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $832.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.542 | 0.756 | $638.21 | +$181.21 |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.145 | $194.15 | −$15.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$142.05at 0.410Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$38.54at 0.151Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$9.34at 0.210Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$-8.40at 0.055Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$-24.00at 0.016Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 14:21 | Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1562226647 | $209.18 |
| 10-04 21:01 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.4771461581 | $95.00 |
| 09-17 17:27 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5669999993 | $215.00 |
| 09-16 20:32 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5539999985 | $147.00 |
| 09-16 20:30 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.2095348235 | $155.24 |
| 09-09 10:35 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.1469999999 | $108.91 |
| 07-07 10:42 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.330999998 | $97.64 |
| 05-07 20:31 | Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end? | BUY | 0.3498337171 | $547.00 |
| 04-28 20:35 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.3299999983 | $97.52 |
| 04-28 19:43 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.4 | $72.97 |
| 04-21 19:41 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.24 | $74.65 |
| 04-14 19:29 | Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.183559356 | $65.32 |
| 04-11 01:46 | Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.2099999975 | $65.32 |
| 04-11 01:45 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.0472145069 | $51.53 |
| 04-09 20:36 | Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? | BUY | 0.029 | $10.53 |