Bettor500
0x867724e58a99e8acc95af2ca5590f9adedef6bd1
- Realised P&L
- $2.18
- Volume
- $24.93
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $11.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.20at 0.392SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5
- +$-0.04at 0.562PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 10:28 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 09:30 | Will Belit Onay win the next Hannover mayoral election? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 09:16 | Will Thorsten Kornblum win the next Braunschweig mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 08:32 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8899996084 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 08:08 | Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9369999869 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:59 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30? | BUY | 0.9649999952 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:31 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:14 | Iran blockade lifted before Xi visits US? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 07:05 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | BUY | 0.9409993413 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:52 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.939999812 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:43 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.8899996084 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 20:25 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 21:03 | SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $3.63 |
| 09-10 17:32 | SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.3799999945 | $1.38 |
| 09-10 16:51 | PSV vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.56 | $1.34 |