PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x866738fd77f1fed0c005e288e034333270e99572

Realised P&L
$2.18
Volume
$212.42
Markets traded
52
Open portfolio
$8.00

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded52
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample49 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.5200.895$3.44+$1.44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7400.943$2.56+$0.55
Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.2300.230$2.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 14:23Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be between $9B and $10B at market close on IPO day?BUY0.2299999782$2.00
09-12 16:57Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.699999965$2.00
09-12 08:14Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.2299999782$2.00
09-08 04:57Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.75$2.00
09-07 17:54Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $350 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.74$2.00
09-07 17:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5199999896$2.00
09-07 08:52US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
09-01 18:16Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
09-01 10:09Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?BUY0.7089996607$2.00
08-24 23:20Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in August 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
08-22 13:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-22 03:22Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-21 18:58Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
08-16 17:09Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7299999087$2.00
08-16 08:39Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?BUY0.7899999289$2.00