PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ThamesRiver

0x86653d7be6190dadbe5df3a1ed3c94288f9b1b75

Realised P&L
$-685.29
Volume
$21.3k
Markets traded
87
Open portfolio
$278.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded87
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana reach $190 October 5-11? · No0.9991.000$88.96+$0.04
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9630.955$67.77−$0.60
Will Solana dip to $50 October 5-11? · No0.9990.998$51.87−$0.08
Will XRP reach $2.20 October 5-11? · No0.9990.990$38.61−$0.35
Will XRP dip to $0.80 October 5-11? · No0.9990.990$31.68−$0.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 04:23Will XRP dip to $0.80 October 5-11?BUY0.999$31.97
10-08 04:22Will XRP reach $2.20 October 5-11?BUY0.999$38.96
10-08 04:22Will Solana dip to $50 October 5-11?BUY0.999$51.95
10-08 04:21Will Solana reach $190 October 5-11?BUY0.999$88.91
10-07 13:14Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.963$68.37
09-03 09:22Trump out as President by September 30?BUY0.987$25.68
08-21 07:23Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.997$88.73
08-21 07:22Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.996$182.27
08-18 06:36Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on August 20?BUY0.999$105.89
08-18 06:35Will the price of XRP be above $1.50 on August 20?BUY0.999$136.00
08-12 06:29Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of August 10 2026?BUY0.9984057099$168.00
08-12 06:28Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.00 Week of August 10 2026?BUY0.999$99.90
08-05 08:41Will CZ post 200+ posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.999$280.72
08-01 16:06Will Ted Cruz post 0-19 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.999$231.70
07-25 00:40Will Ethena reach $0.28 in July?BUY0.998876932$131.00