SomeOtherName
0x8661fdad3f38f7baa702ee3e353bd00323da0e14
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $119.2k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $304.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$238.65at 0.273Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$152.58at 0.621Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$144.22at 0.460Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$73.66at 0.404Steelers vs. Bengals
- +$38.26at 0.230Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-29 22:13 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.08 | $35.98 |
| 02-13 01:47 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.01 | $50.00 |
| 02-13 00:56 | Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0540193065 | $50.00 |
| 02-10 13:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 10? | BUY | 0.9639999983 | $128.83 |
| 02-07 18:36 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 02-06 17:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.4532776759 | $46.96 |
| 02-06 17:41 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.2803925318 | $74.79 |
| 02-03 22:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 5? | BUY | 0.123417718 | $30.00 |
| 02-03 22:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5? | BUY | 0.5289999973 | $50.00 |
| 02-03 15:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 5? | BUY | 0.2613746335 | $50.00 |
| 02-03 15:36 | Seahawks vs. Patriots | BUY | 0.3299999967 | $50.00 |
| 01-30 23:08 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0929249901 | $100.00 |
| 01-30 23:07 | Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.014 | $50.00 |
| 01-30 23:06 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | SELL | 0.685 | $148.91 |
| 01-30 23:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 31? | BUY | 0.5731430126 | $50.00 |