0x865c0760d07d47c302fdfb5148c08f5b50c64246
0x865c0760d07d47c302fdfb5148c08f5b50c64246
- Realised P&L
- $0.62
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $759.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No | 0.785 | 0.770 | $307.23 | −$6.15 |
| Jazz vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.870 | 0.875 | $155.75 | +$0.89 |
| Pistons vs. Hornets · Pistons | 0.610 | 0.615 | $86.10 | +$0.70 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.116 | $46.08 | +$5.14 |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2T? · No | 0.650 | 0.595 | $35.10 | −$3.25 |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.075 | $29.85 | +$1.99 |
| Celtics vs. Magic · Magic | 0.305 | 0.215 | $29.67 | −$12.40 |
| Raptors vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.630 | 0.585 | $21.64 | −$1.67 |
| Celtics vs. Rockets · Rockets | 0.600 | 0.625 | $18.13 | +$0.72 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.175 | $8.40 | −$6.96 |
| Kings vs. Mavericks · Kings | 0.180 | 0.185 | $8.14 | +$0.22 |
| Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.021 | $5.64 | −$0.41 |
| Bucks vs. Timberwolves · Bucks | 0.240 | 0.235 | $4.70 | −$0.10 |
| Bulls vs. 76ers · Bulls | 0.210 | 0.155 | $3.25 | −$1.16 |
| Titans vs. Bengals · Titans | 0.130 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$24.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.96at 0.680Trail Blazers vs. Jazz
- +$47.75at 0.750Cavaliers vs. Bucks
- +$4.15at 0.049Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?
- +$0.00at 0.220Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?
- +$-0.21at 0.324Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 16:03 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.75 | $54.75 |
| 11-01 16:01 | Cardinals vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.75 | $66.00 |
| 11-01 15:24 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.13 | $10.40 |
| 11-01 15:00 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.13 | $6.37 |
| 11-01 14:57 | Titans vs. Bengals | BUY | 0.13 | $8.32 |
| 11-01 10:47 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.14 | $26.88 |
| 11-01 10:09 | Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.15 | $31.50 |
| 11-01 03:44 | Bucks vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 11-01 02:44 | Raptors vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.63 | $23.31 |
| 11-01 02:42 | Pistons vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.61 | $35.99 |
| 11-01 02:40 | Jazz vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.87 | $75.69 |
| 11-01 02:40 | Pistons vs. Hornets | BUY | 0.61 | $49.41 |
| 11-01 02:39 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 11-01 02:32 | Kings vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.18 | $7.92 |
| 11-01 02:30 | Celtics vs. Magic | BUY | 0.31 | $14.57 |