0x86577BbdcB7B6707733BD6b3d2611c3571dD5F0d-1789897735834
0x86577bbdcb7b6707733bd6b3d2611c3571dd5f0d
- Realised P&L
- $-398.73
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 301
- Open portfolio
- $0.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded301
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Widzew Lodz win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$4.96 |
| Will Waterford FC win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$1.33 |
| Virtus Bologna vs. Kosner Baskonia · Kosner Baskonia | 0.200 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$3.99 |
| Panathinaikos vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv · Panathinaikos | 0.613 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.29 |
| Legia Warszawa vs. Anwil Wloclawek · Anwil Wloclawek | 0.290 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
| Will FC Den Bosch win on 2026-10-16? · No | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.70 |
| Will Randers FC win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.07at 0.568LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner
- +$21.20at 0.290Will Widzew Lodz vs. Wisla Krakow end in a draw?
- +$19.39at 0.340Wuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko
- +$17.70at 0.230Mallorca: Julia Grabher vs Ariana Geerlings
- +$17.29at 0.361Seahawks vs. Broncos: O/U 30.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 21:05 | Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-10-16? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.09 |
| 10-16 21:05 | Hornets vs. Grizzlies | SELL | 0.45 | $4.43 |
| 10-16 21:03 | Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.69 |
| 10-16 20:46 | Barcelona vs. Olympiacos B.C. | SELL | 0.999 | $8.48 |
| 10-16 20:40 | Will Widzew Lodz vs. Wisla Krakow end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.87 |
| 10-16 20:24 | Will Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-10-16? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.31 |
| 10-16 20:14 | Will Waterford FC win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.36 |
| 10-16 20:05 | Strasbourg vs. Roanne | SELL | 0.999 | $10.54 |
| 10-16 19:48 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 10-16 19:45 | Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efes | SELL | 0.999 | $13.22 |
| 10-16 19:44 | Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.73 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 19:28 | Panathinaikos vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv | BUY | 0.6134036939 | $9.30 |
| 10-16 19:10 | Strasbourg vs. Roanne | BUY | 0.45 | $4.75 |
| 10-16 18:46 | Will Vitesse Arnhem win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.35 |
| 10-16 18:28 | Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Anadolu Efes | BUY | 0.75 | $6.17 |