sanah
0x865466cb2b7098a71dedc311a9755cd8d2b6f2df
- Realised P&L
- $24.66
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $123.97
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)87.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.00at 0.200Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.4%?
- +$12.92at 0.354Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?
- +$10.50at 0.475Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?
- +$10.00at 0.500Will Jake Paul walk out to Till I Die by Machine Gun Kelly?
- +$8.40at 0.160Will Melania say "Be Best" during AI talk on Friday?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-19 19:41 | Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20? | BUY | 0.229 | $0.22 |
| 03-19 19:40 | Will NCAA March Madness Live be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 20? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 02-10 19:18 | Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 01-27 02:20 | Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30? | BUY | 0.55 | $3.19 |
| 01-20 06:45 | Will Don Lemon be criminally charged? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 01-16 07:42 | Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 01-16 07:24 | Insurrection Act invoked by March 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |
| 01-16 06:30 | Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | BUY | 0.43 | $4.30 |
| 01-14 18:12 | Iran Strike on Israel by January 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 01-14 18:04 | Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16? | BUY | 0.38984 | $3.90 |
| 01-08 23:10 | Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 15 be greater than 2,000,000? | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 01-08 18:33 | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 01-07 19:33 | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 01-07 16:08 | Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9? | BUY | 0.0098187215 | $1.00 |
| 01-07 08:17 | Deel IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |