chronos-sniper
0x8652f7dd6e69ed4e75bd14fa5a5c2f1be400e03e
- Realised P&L
- $-33.94
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $744.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? · Yes | 0.189 | 0.263 | $418.19 | +$118.19 |
| Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.192 | $193.69 | +$43.69 |
| Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.110 | $132.96 | −$77.04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Down | 0.568 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.99 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET · Up | 0.346 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.06 |
| Will Google have the best AI model for math on March 31? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.18 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Up | 0.122 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET · Down | 0.211 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.84at 0.724Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31?
- +$5.03at 0.298Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$4.71at 0.457Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
- +$3.60at 0.670Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$3.56at 0.508Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 16:32 | Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1573459712 | $50.00 |
| 10-22 16:31 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | SELL | 0.0864005764 | $101.62 |
| 10-18 23:46 | Will Jaafar Jackson be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1447105369 | $100.00 |
| 10-18 23:38 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1699999999 | $110.00 |
| 10-18 23:27 | Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | BUY | 0.3284578754 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 18:10 | Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | BUY | 0.177525101 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 22:03 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1780496626 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 21:58 | Will Stranger Things be the #1 searched TV show on Google this year? | BUY | 0.1384419117 | $100.00 |
| 10-12 21:57 | Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.0935225257 | $110.00 |
| 02-21 20:24 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 02-21 20:20 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | BUY | 0.7199999856 | $10.00 |
| 02-21 20:18 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | BUY | 0.7255163047 | $10.00 |
| 02-20 23:18 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $0.98 |
| 02-20 23:12 | Will Google have the best AI model for math on March 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.18 |
| 02-17 00:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1219483336 | $3.98 |