GC.Charley
0x86513cdb1a724219db0c73aaa8ab94a0ded423a8
- Realised P&L
- $1.59
- Volume
- $63.33
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $5.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 36%+? · No | 0.830 | 0.918 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will OpenRouter process less than 575T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25? · No | 0.870 | 0.976 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? · No | 0.770 | 0.770 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? · No | 0.810 | 0.705 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.595 | $0.73 | −$0.27 |
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $5.00 and $5.50 on August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.33at 0.430Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
- +$1.30at 0.610Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
- +$0.83at 0.622Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?
- +$0.40at 0.718Will Alibaba be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?
- +$0.14at 0.177Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 15:25 | Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:15 | Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 36%+? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:13 | Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 36%+? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:27 | Will OpenRouter process less than 575T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25? | BUY | 0.8699994606 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 16:10 | Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 14:48 | Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 03:25 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | SELL | 0.746 | $0.80 |
| 09-10 16:35 | Will PI get the second-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections? | SELL | 0.698 | $0.98 |
| 09-10 16:35 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.991 | $1.12 |
| 09-08 15:32 | Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.972 | $1.03 |
| 09-08 15:32 | Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $1.10 |
| 09-07 18:18 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% in September? | BUY | 0.9339999682 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 18:17 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.59 |
| 09-07 18:17 | Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.38 |
| 09-07 18:17 | Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | SELL | 0.21 | $0.64 |