PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

otheranother

0x864fecd33f7d4ea8acb8e4b625fa58c230dd3ae7

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$191.6k
Markets traded
1,026
Open portfolio
$5.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,026
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? · Yes0.7720.080$5.18−$44.82
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8480.000$0.00−$150.00
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00−$2.74
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · No0.7700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026? · No0.0180.000$0.00−$18.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 16:30Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?SELL0.92$51.11
10-15 18:09Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?SELL0.817$14.91
10-15 13:28Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?BUY0.7699999992$10.00
10-13 17:312026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.38$29.23
10-13 09:57Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.7669999793$14.00
10-13 09:54Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.9782291545$25.00
10-11 09:55Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové?BUY0.9$50.00
10-11 09:44Will Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice?BUY0.7722772247$50.00
10-11 09:33Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.365$10.95
10-11 09:28Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026?BUY0.7699999992$10.00
10-09 23:33Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.9196058827$70.00
10-09 10:05Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.98$75.00
10-09 10:03Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8649999984$50.00
10-08 09:58Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.8399999933$100.00
10-08 09:18Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.968$29.04