otheranother
0x864fecd33f7d4ea8acb8e4b625fa58c230dd3ae7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $191.6k
- Markets traded
- 1,026
- Open portfolio
- $5.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,026
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration37.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? · Yes | 0.772 | 0.080 | $5.18 | −$44.82 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.848 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$150.00 |
| Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? · Yes | 0.365 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.74 |
| Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$173.08at 0.394Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
- +$105.55at 0.115Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?
- +$65.44at 0.459MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$53.91at 0.610Another GTA VI trailer released by June 26?
- +$53.86at 0.619LoL: LEO vs Rich Gang (BO3) - NLC Regular Season
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 16:30 | Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové? | SELL | 0.92 | $51.11 |
| 10-15 18:09 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.817 | $14.91 |
| 10-15 13:28 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 17:31 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.38 | $29.23 |
| 10-13 09:57 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.7669999793 | $14.00 |
| 10-13 09:54 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9782291545 | $25.00 |
| 10-11 09:55 | Will Pavlína Springerová be the next Mayor of Hradec Králové? | BUY | 0.9 | $50.00 |
| 10-11 09:44 | Will Dagmar Škodová Parmová be the next Mayor of České Budějovice? | BUY | 0.7722772247 | $50.00 |
| 10-11 09:33 | Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.365 | $10.95 |
| 10-11 09:28 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 23:33 | Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9196058827 | $70.00 |
| 10-09 10:05 | Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $75.00 |
| 10-09 10:03 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8649999984 | $50.00 |
| 10-08 09:58 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $100.00 |
| 10-08 09:18 | Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.968 | $29.04 |