hulaharry
0x864edbb0374c60c888c7bc46a30d39fe88ddb2ef
- Realised P&L
- $-221.49
- Volume
- $20.2k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $48.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? · Yes | 0.089 | 0.125 | $25.27 | +$7.34 |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.059 | $23.21 | −$22.69 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5AM ET · Up | 0.207 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$61.38 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.422 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET · Down | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Up | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 1? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.371 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$421.88at 0.542England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$164.58at 0.467Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score
- +$89.90at 0.805Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$60.87at 0.621Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
- +$59.22at 0.632Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.10 |
| 08-06 16:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.2399999939 | $23.62 |
| 08-06 08:24 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.0813725374 | $6.00 |
| 08-06 07:07 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.0889999869 | $6.00 |
| 08-06 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.9 | $37.38 |
| 08-06 03:50 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4579610624 | $19.02 |
| 08-05 07:15 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.1149999943 | $16.00 |
| 08-05 06:44 | Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0714836202 | $8.00 |
| 08-05 06:43 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | BUY | 0.1149999874 | $7.90 |
| 08-05 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.96 | $1.16 |
| 08-05 06:18 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.5942736706 | $36.65 |
| 08-05 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2623509258 | $16.50 |
| 08-04 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | SELL | 0.1351022211 | $5.35 |
| 08-04 05:25 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on August 4? | BUY | 0.2018709809 | $8.00 |
| 08-04 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.6369589422 | $36.61 |