0x864b31174dC23e075d5C201bb32733abB3bEf96A-1779048873297
0x864b31174dc23e075d5c201bb32733abb3bef96a
- Realised P&L
- $-109.92
- Volume
- $498.70
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $105.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-22.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.843 | $105.31 | −$4.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.49at 0.557Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
- +$-130.41at 0.398Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 21:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3851412506 | $100.00 |
| 05-17 21:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3689477913 | $25.00 |
| 05-17 21:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999935 | $25.00 |
| 05-17 20:42 | Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | BUY | 0.88 | $110.00 |