madmaxbet
0x864a1140430b314f926c92e16aefdf6c4d787cac
- Realised P&L
- $-5.7k
- Volume
- $569.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,617
- Open portfolio
- $242.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,617
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington vs. Purdue · Washington | 0.399 | 0.575 | $111.69 | +$34.16 |
| Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-09-05? · No | 0.810 | 0.735 | $107.22 | −$10.94 |
| Ohio State vs. Indiana · Ohio State | 0.610 | 0.585 | $14.28 | −$0.61 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? · No | 0.210 | 0.215 | $9.32 | +$0.22 |
| Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| Celtics vs. Heat · Heat | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$98.56 |
| Timberwolves vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$201.44 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers · Detroit Tigers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.70 |
| Penguins vs. Red Wings · Red Wings | 0.561 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$473.92 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros · Boston Red Sox | 0.587 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$128.40 |
| Oilers vs. Capitals · Oilers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.26 |
| Nets vs. Nuggets · Nets | 0.323 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$181.50 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$145.50 |
| Vikings vs. Cowboys · Cowboys | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$143.79 |
| Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) · Detroit Tigers | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$182.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.788Lions vs. Commanders
- +$748.32at 0.240Kings vs. Heat
- +$742.15at 0.356Pacers vs. Nets
- +$689.25at 0.331Spurs vs. Lakers
- +$650.56at 0.520Raptors vs. Hawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 18:26 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.2099999968 | $9.10 |
| 10-16 14:32 | Ohio State vs. Indiana | BUY | 0.6099999857 | $14.89 |
| 10-16 14:08 | Washington vs. Purdue | BUY | 0.3991248391 | $77.53 |
| 10-15 20:18 | Seahawks vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.5699999987 | $116.10 |
| 10-15 19:06 | Islanders vs. Senators | BUY | 0.4 | $53.90 |
| 10-13 22:24 | Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) | BUY | 0.629999999 | $32.71 |
| 10-13 21:59 | Capitals vs. Hurricanes | BUY | 0.4099999981 | $51.80 |
| 10-12 20:18 | Bills vs. Rams | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 10-11 16:16 | Spread: Steelers (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5399999952 | $42.82 |
| 10-11 15:47 | Bengals vs. Dolphins | BUY | 0.76 | $277.34 |
| 10-10 16:24 | South Carolina vs. Florida | BUY | 0.2 | $29.57 |
| 10-10 15:49 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.5699998357 | $1.70 |
| 10-10 15:06 | Spread: Jaguars (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $36.67 |
| 10-10 14:42 | Spread: Oklahoma State (-10.5) | BUY | 0.4799999979 | $37.04 |
| 10-10 14:31 | Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4399999973 | $26.35 |