PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

10KPnl

0x864669913a04d249f41770221bfc62c10812ed78

Realised P&L
$-212.14
Volume
$10.51M
Markets traded
6,802
Open portfolio
$4.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,802
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0050.003$0.79$0.79
Will Richard Grenell be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0060.001$0.50$5.50
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0070.001$0.50$6.50
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0050.001$0.50$4.50
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0080.001$0.50$7.50
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$0.48$3.36
Will Amanda Lind be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.0040.001$0.44$3.08
Will Progressive Socialist Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · Yes0.0080.001$0.16$2.40
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$0.13$0.66
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0050.003$0.13$0.13
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.001$0.10$0.10
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? · Yes0.0030.001$0.08$0.41
Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0030.001$0.07$0.39
Will Ann Diener win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.0020.001$0.04$0.14
Will Jared Cannonier be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0080.002$0.04$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 00:03Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?SELL0.001$0.13
06-15 00:02Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.001$0.92
06-15 00:01Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.002$0.45
06-15 00:00Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.002$0.40
06-15 00:00Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.002$0.56
06-14 23:57Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.001$0.72
06-14 23:56Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?SELL0.001$0.39
06-14 23:55Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.001$1.00
06-14 23:55Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.001$0.77
06-14 23:55Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.005$1.54
06-14 23:55Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.005$1.61
06-14 23:55Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.002$1.48
06-14 23:55Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$1.72
06-14 23:55Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.002$1.66
06-14 23:55Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.002$1.78