10KPnl
0x864669913a04d249f41770221bfc62c10812ed78
- Realised P&L
- $-212.14
- Volume
- $10.51M
- Markets traded
- 6,802
- Open portfolio
- $4.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,802
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$210.38at 0.001Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?
- +$20.38at 0.004US forces enter Iran by February 28?
- +$16.00at 0.008Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$16.00at 0.008Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
- +$15.52at 0.008Infinex FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 00:03 | Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.13 |
| 06-15 00:02 | Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.92 |
| 06-15 00:01 | Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.45 |
| 06-15 00:00 | Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 06-15 00:00 | Will Gholam-Ali Haddad-Adel be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.56 |
| 06-14 23:57 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.72 |
| 06-14 23:56 | Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.39 |
| 06-14 23:55 | Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 23:55 | Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.77 |
| 06-14 23:55 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.54 |
| 06-14 23:55 | Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.61 |
| 06-14 23:55 | Will Mustafa Hijri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.48 |
| 06-14 23:55 | Will Oceania (OCF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.72 |
| 06-14 23:55 | Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.66 |
| 06-14 23:55 | Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.78 |