PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Love.always.wins.over.hatred.and.envy

0x8642cd0a25d32679b4b6ba00cc3341dfd8f468d9

Realised P&L
$-3.9k
Volume
$141.3k
Markets traded
168
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded168
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8570.945$2.5k+$234.32
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.7920.865$327.44+$27.44
Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.4840.510$210.72+$10.72
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.6300.865$54.92+$14.92
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · Yes0.1340.083$30.95$19.05
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$9.31
US recession in 2025? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$50.00
Will Luis Arce win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$5.00
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$5.50
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$3.01
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$517.11
Will Pope Leo visit Turkey first? · No0.3430.000$0.00$19.70
Megaquake before August? · No0.9430.000$0.00$6.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-01 19:05Will Giorgia Meloni be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.4840505349$200.00
08-13 05:02Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.1340800198$50.00
08-13 05:00Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy?BUY0.7925175774$300.00
08-08 17:42Iran leadership change by December 31?SELL0.77$200.00
08-08 12:59Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.7699999975$200.00
08-04 20:59Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?SELL0.58$44.61
08-04 20:59Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.17$85.00
08-02 13:59Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$100.00
08-02 13:59Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.6499999902$50.00
08-01 10:51Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.75$587.80
07-30 16:52Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.75$300.00
07-26 11:48Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.6299999991$40.00
07-26 11:19Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.8$306.98
07-25 14:22Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.7399999998$400.00
04-23 17:46Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.86$2.2k