NoaGGHH
0x8641883aaad0e0997396640d033388894d3bd047
- Realised P&L
- $-47.72
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $326.06
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? · No | 0.870 | 0.955 | $260.71 | +$23.20 |
| Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.029 | $65.34 | −$111.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.98at 0.930Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.79at 0.850Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31?
- +$4.83at 0.890Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
- +$-0.66at 0.888Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 07:09 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $28.00 |
| 07-24 07:06 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $24.00 |
| 07-24 06:36 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $24.00 |
| 07-24 06:35 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $24.96 |
| 07-24 06:26 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $25.12 |
| 07-23 12:59 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $23.76 |
| 07-23 12:53 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $27.36 |
| 06-05 06:25 | Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by July 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $419.05 |
| 05-22 06:52 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $151.30 |
| 05-22 06:52 | Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $278.57 |
| 04-12 02:54 | Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.8879999999 | $65.71 |