PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x86352E9dCD7F13C767bB1BeF84352836a450CE6b-1775596338853

0x86352e9dcd7f13c767bb1bef84352836a450ce6b

Realised P&L
$-5.58
Volume
$85.30
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$4.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration31.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8600.959$2.23+$0.23
Will Gianni Infantino be the next President of FIFA? · Yes0.7800.765$1.96−$0.04
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.8100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 14:43Will Gianni Infantino be the next President of FIFA?BUY0.7799998674$2.00
10-09 05:39Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
06-14 18:22Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.8099999757$1.00
05-20 14:00Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.8599999656$2.00
05-17 16:05GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?BUY0.91$1.00
05-17 05:59Starmer out by May 19, 2026?BUY0.8739997063$2.00
05-10 07:33Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL0.08$1.12
04-30 20:44Will Sam Altman testify against Musk?BUY0.8699999913$1.00
04-24 20:50US x Cuba military clash in 2026?SELL0.4$2.00
04-22 11:45Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.8899994126$1.00
04-12 20:11Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?SELL0.999$1.08
04-12 11:02Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?BUY0.919999448$1.00
04-08 06:57US x Cuba military clash in 2026?BUY0.4$2.00
04-08 06:56Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL0.14$0.02
04-08 06:56Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL0.14$2.23