PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

thompsonalicia

0x86320a5d1bcf9dd7d0c630bba68ca9144a62ffb3

Realised P&L
$47.95
Volume
$12.3k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$21.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration90.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rastislav Trnka win the 2026 Košice Region gubernatorial election? · Yes0.6000.730$11.07+$1.97
Will Meta’s market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of October 2026? · No0.6590.884$10.27+$2.61
Will Carlos Alcaraz advance to the Final in Men's Singles at the 2026 US Open? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$6.03
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14? · Yes0.7900.000$0.00−$13.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 03:21Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?BUY0.7899999942$13.60
01-31 13:49Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January?BUY0.999$5.07
01-31 13:43Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.999$15.01
01-30 16:22Will Chainlink hit $17 in January?BUY0.999$9.42
01-30 13:06Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?BUY0.9940648115$12.66
01-30 12:26Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of January 2026?BUY0.999$36.72
12-30 18:27Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?BUY0.999$3.48
12-30 13:48Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? BUY0.9979999008$4.87
12-30 09:31Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.997$11.99
12-29 22:15Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?BUY0.998$20.53
12-29 22:02Will Trump pardon Himself in 2025?BUY0.999$35.01
10-30 19:23Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?BUY0.9969999999$24.52
10-30 18:34Will Ethereum dip to $3200 in October?BUY0.992$26.49
09-29 14:42Will Trump sue Powell by September 30?BUY0.997999994$17.44
09-29 04:08Will Google have the second best AI model on September 30?BUY0.99$18.03