0x8630d6bcedeb5354e6fce7c7afb2c0cfaed7158b
0x8630d6bcedeb5354e6fce7c7afb2c0cfaed7158b
- Realised P&L
- $-623.23
- Volume
- $717.9k
- Markets traded
- 160
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded160
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes | 0.582 | 0.705 | $1.2k | +$212.28 |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.013 | $143.26 | +$43.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.196Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
- +$1.6kat 0.332Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$1.2kat 0.348Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$980.51at 0.113Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?
- +$918.57at 0.206Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 20:07 | Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0094232935 | $100.00 |
| 09-14 00:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 08-30 15:01 | Will Real Madrid CF vs. Málaga CF end in a draw? | BUY | 0.08 | $90.00 |
| 08-23 16:07 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? | BUY | 0.5815481855 | $1000.00 |
| 08-01 19:29 | Will FC Porto vs. SCU Torreense end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2210311101 | $200.00 |
| 08-01 19:15 | Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain? | BUY | 0.0147195694 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 01:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 1? | BUY | 0.0251678723 | $102.00 |
| 07-23 14:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10AM ET | BUY | 0.1264755481 | $150.00 |
| 07-21 00:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8PM ET | BUY | 0.0208321032 | $40.00 |
| 07-20 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.0789813717 | $99.00 |
| 07-19 21:59 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.1198701398 | $120.00 |
| 07-19 21:08 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.8775 | $1.8k |
| 07-19 20:59 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.61 | $1.2k |
| 07-19 18:10 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.3k |
| 07-18 22:57 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0125517242 | $14.00 |