GodfreyOfBuillon
0x862e7cc7233428da1746dcaf0efd8608d70775bf
- Realised P&L
- $4.73
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $6.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.042 | $6.92 | −$13.08 |
| Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? · No | 0.185 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? · No | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? · No | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$72.04at 0.090Will Russia capture Riasne by May 31?
- +$22.65at 0.184UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$11.88at 0.067Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
- +$11.04at 0.120US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
- +$4.02at 0.039Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 09:51 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999952 | $20.00 |
| 08-27 09:48 | Will US annex any territory in 2026? | SELL | 0.0428574257 | $3.90 |
| 08-27 09:48 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $13.33 |
| 07-09 07:12 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 12:17 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 06-23 12:16 | Will US annex any territory in 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 10:06 | Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? | SELL | 0.004995572 | $1.38 |
| 06-19 10:06 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.25 |
| 06-19 10:06 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.79 |
| 06-19 10:06 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.56 |
| 06-19 10:06 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.50 |
| 06-19 10:06 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? | SELL | 0.0061300756 | $0.44 |
| 06-19 10:06 | Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.17 |
| 06-19 10:05 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0121742908 | $2.54 |
| 06-19 10:05 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.063 | $4.55 |