PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

GodfreyOfBuillon

0x862e7cc7233428da1746dcaf0efd8608d70775bf

Realised P&L
$4.73
Volume
$13.7k
Markets traded
40
Open portfolio
$6.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded40
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.042$6.92−$13.08
Will Poland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? · No0.1850.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? · No0.0340.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? · No0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Georgia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 09:51Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999952$20.00
08-27 09:48Will US annex any territory in 2026?SELL0.0428574257$3.90
08-27 09:48Cuban regime falls in 2026?SELL0.12$13.33
07-09 07:12Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0599999946$10.00
06-23 12:17Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.189999988$10.00
06-23 12:16Will US annex any territory in 2026?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
06-19 10:06Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?SELL0.004995572$1.38
06-19 10:06Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.004$1.25
06-19 10:06Xi Jinping out by June 30?SELL0.003$0.79
06-19 10:06Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?SELL0.001$0.56
06-19 10:06Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026?SELL0.002$0.50
06-19 10:06Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?SELL0.0061300756$0.44
06-19 10:06Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?SELL0.003$0.17
06-19 10:05Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026?SELL0.0121742908$2.54
06-19 10:05Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.063$4.55