0x862c36a5f1b3be747cbdf1cf1fcce85a6c022c5a
0x862c36a5f1b3be747cbdf1cf1fcce85a6c022c5a
- Realised P&L
- $0.94
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $3.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on September 28? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $1.61 | −$3.38 |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.50 | −$1.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.36at 0.737Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-08-25?
- +$0.12at 0.894Will Ansan Greeners FC win on 2026-08-28?
- +$0.10at 0.913Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-08-26?
- +$0.10at 0.913Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5)
- +$0.07at 0.933Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 08:29 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:29 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:29 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.0060234225 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.0011182903 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 08:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 21:04 | Spread: Club Necaxa (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 15:11 | Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 13:48 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 00:58 | Will Ansan Greeners FC win on 2026-08-28? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 05:09 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 23:57 | Will Bamin Real Potosí win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 13:54 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |