alatar345
0x862ae143171256226ec08afde8f51f7a4b74a80c
- Realised P&L
- $100.79
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $31.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$113.30at 0.080US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$57.50at 0.080Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?
- +$27.14at 0.203US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
- +$24.51at 0.220Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
- +$8.22at 0.245Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 16:49 | Will Netanyahu be pardoned by December 31? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 04:05 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $5.00 |
| 09-26 04:01 | Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2027? | BUY | 0.0679999998 | $5.00 |
| 09-08 19:29 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.0277227719 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 16:16 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 18:42 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 16:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 19:11 | France leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 19:51 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | SELL | 0.1325 | $4.61 |
| 07-10 19:32 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.0574999741 | $2.00 |
| 07-08 20:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3259999627 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 17:38 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.39 |
| 07-01 17:35 | Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 18:35 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | SELL | 0.54 | $10.80 |
| 06-30 18:28 | Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |