facaihao
0x862907fce3ec622bb2c44879cffea6d6d7d0ce84
- Realised P&L
- $-565.22
- Volume
- $46.1k
- Markets traded
- 250
- Open portfolio
- $26.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded250
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.06at 0.865The Memphis Classic: Camila Osorio vs Storm Hunter
- +$127.60at 0.681LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
- +$92.70at 0.520FK Haugesund vs. Bryne FK: O/U 3.5
- +$90.81at 0.946Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?
- +$70.52at 0.935Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 16:32 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.6099999884 | $14.72 |
| 10-03 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.6079349972 | $14.72 |
| 10-03 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.694875 | $5.56 |
| 10-03 10:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.871 | $17.42 |
| 10-03 03:08 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.9256872038 | $41.02 |
| 10-02 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.7127759159 | $14.80 |
| 10-02 18:39 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 10-02 00:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.79 |
| 10-01 14:40 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.6799999926 | $14.77 |
| 09-30 10:56 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4799999948 | $14.63 |
| 09-30 10:05 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.4899999839 | $14.64 |
| 09-29 13:32 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.7099999974 | $29.60 |
| 09-25 17:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.7199999938 | $9.28 |
| 09-25 12:07 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.38 |
| 09-25 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.5999999938 | $19.42 |