0x8629072b1a79418ef0683473e4ebee912b31b38d
- Realised P&L
- $-4.0k
- Volume
- $19.5k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $875.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-20.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes | 0.249 | 0.045 | $875.75 | −$4.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.55at 0.179Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-27 06:34 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.306 | $0.28 |
| 01-27 06:33 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.306 | $8.26 |
| 01-25 08:21 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.1789999763 | $5.00 |
| 01-20 12:12 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.7k |
| 01-20 09:10 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999993 | $199.00 |