PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0

0x861f4149171db053c73382c40d2c7e5408fd177d

Realised P&L
$44.8k
Volume
$691.2k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$16.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration70.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5580.085$7.5k−$41.8k
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4170.041$6.2k−$57.1k
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3640.029$1.5k−$17.8k
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2360.021$500.97−$5.0k
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4940.125$297.33−$878.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.020$90.76−$633.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 12:16Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999948$20.21
08-21 09:04Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999685$3.00
08-21 09:04Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1137476219$185.44
08-21 08:30Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$16.23
08-05 06:53Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
07-27 08:24Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3299999818$6.89
07-26 09:00Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999747$6.82
07-25 07:08Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3499999702$6.47
07-24 06:54Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3099999746$5.99
07-23 07:35Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999775$5.93
07-22 06:34Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4499999832$13.37
07-21 17:25Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$66.76
07-21 07:57Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4599999983$144.75
07-21 07:45Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4599999719$6.54
07-20 06:06Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3299999865$10.79