PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

waiting99

0x861e3073fc398d7fed3b119739d7c02a9b50c431

Realised P&L
$-72.38
Volume
$3.2k
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$16.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on September 24? · Yes0.3900.485$9.70+$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 24? · Yes0.4800.330$6.60$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00$1.84
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET · Down0.3300.000$0.00$1.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.0400.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET · Down0.4170.000$0.00$0.64
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Up0.2100.000$0.00$1.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET · Down0.5900.000$0.00$2.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET · Up0.4260.000$0.00$4.95
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET · Up0.3340.000$0.00$2.97
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 24? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$3.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET · Up0.3000.000$0.00$1.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 04:00Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 24?SELL0.62$6.76
09-24 03:00Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 24?SELL0.17$2.55
09-23 22:00Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 24?SELL0.7$12.96
09-23 22:00Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 24?SELL0.38$5.70
09-22 07:00Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 22?SELL0.33$2.05
09-22 01:03Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22?SELL0.003$0.04
09-21 18:00Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 22?SELL0.33$2.40
09-21 18:00Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 22?SELL0.39$4.29
09-21 18:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22?SELL0.16$1.00
04-02 09:09Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETSELL0.92$1.82
04-02 09:09Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETBUY0.89$1.75
04-02 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETSELL0.74$1.51
04-02 08:21Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ETBUY0.84$1.70
04-02 07:48Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETSELL0.91$1.82
04-02 07:48Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ETBUY0.9199999802$1.84