waiting99
0x861e3073fc398d7fed3b119739d7c02a9b50c431
- Realised P&L
- $-72.38
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $16.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.39at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
- +$6.57at 0.330Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 23?
- +$3.52at 0.344Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
- +$3.41at 0.468Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 22?
- +$2.73at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.62 | $6.76 |
| 09-24 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.55 |
| 09-23 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.7 | $12.96 |
| 09-23 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 24? | SELL | 0.38 | $5.70 |
| 09-22 07:00 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 22? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.05 |
| 09-22 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.04 |
| 09-21 18:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.33 | $2.40 |
| 09-21 18:00 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.39 | $4.29 |
| 09-21 18:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 04-02 09:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | SELL | 0.92 | $1.82 |
| 04-02 09:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $1.75 |
| 04-02 08:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $1.51 |
| 04-02 08:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | BUY | 0.84 | $1.70 |
| 04-02 07:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | SELL | 0.91 | $1.82 |
| 04-02 07:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | BUY | 0.9199999802 | $1.84 |