PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x86172eb849ec9b4ff962849c72c8d53493ce22dc

Realised P&L
$5.82
Volume
$76.44
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$2.37

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.7500.905$1.21+$0.21
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.5200.600$1.15+$0.15
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.7100.004$0.01$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-14 11:02Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
09-14 02:49Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
09-13 18:49Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-11 06:16SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-10 18:40Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-10 08:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-09 22:50Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-09 12:46Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-09 04:30S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?BUY0.4$1.00
09-08 16:22LAPTOP airdrop by September 9?BUY0.8$1.00
09-08 00:08Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-03 03:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
09-02 14:52US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.5$1.00
09-02 00:29Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
09-01 11:00Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of August 31 2026?BUY0.5099998317$1.00