0x86172eb849ec9b4ff962849c72c8d53493ce22dc
- Realised P&L
- $5.82
- Volume
- $76.44
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $2.37
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.905 | $1.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.600 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.710 | 0.004 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.40at 0.300Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?
- +$2.31at 0.308Will Trump say "Communication" during remarks at NASA?
- +$1.83at 0.359Will Trump say "Never Seen Anything" during remarks at NASA?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 11:02 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 02:49 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 18:49 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 06:16 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 18:40 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 08:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 22:50 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:46 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 04:30 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 16:22 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 00:08 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 03:49 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 14:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 00:29 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 11:00 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $175 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |