0x860eda0f26b2914ad2712325708d9e1b98d6612e
0x860eda0f26b2914ad2712325708d9e1b98d6612e
- Realised P&L
- $-13.29
- Volume
- $196.74
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $2.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 13? · Up | 0.350 | 0.805 | $2.30 | +$1.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.65at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$3.31at 0.239Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
- +$2.59at 0.442Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.290Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?
- +$1.92at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 02:58 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 06:48 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:24 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.7839999561 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 11:04 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:04 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 18:18 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 10:16 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 02:16 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 02:30 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 13:50 | Will the US add between 100k and 150k jobs in September? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 05:49 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:10 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in July 2026 be less than 0.0%? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 23:00 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 14:21 | Will Cracker Barrel say "Tailwind" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 05:04 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |