KARIZMATIKU
0x85fc9f25299cafb649700d9034dda5a48f408700
- Realised P&L
- $-8.5k
- Volume
- $1.57M
- Markets traded
- 1,281
- Open portfolio
- $507.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,281
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.5kat 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3PM ET
- +$11.5kat 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
- +$9.6kat 0.625Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET
- +$9.1kat 0.596Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
- +$6.3kat 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 18:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5322283279 | $187.00 |
| 11-02 18:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.559999999 | $187.00 |
| 11-02 18:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.5521750582 | $187.00 |
| 11-02 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999982 | $50.00 |
| 11-02 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999965 | $50.00 |
| 11-02 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0989119683 | $50.00 |
| 11-02 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999994 | $40.00 |
| 11-02 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999997 | $50.00 |
| 11-02 17:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3574079629 | $187.00 |
| 11-02 17:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2274187593 | $133.04 |
| 11-02 17:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999994 | $187.00 |
| 11-02 17:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5199999994 | $187.00 |
| 11-02 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2140978823 | $187.00 |
| 11-02 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2999999997 | $187.00 |
| 11-02 17:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999989 | $187.00 |