0x85EDA41965ae1246870083Df9093424f8D7fAb14-1768170043222
0x85eda41965ae1246870083df9093424f8d7fab14
- Realised P&L
- $-56.19
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $74.55
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.308 | 0.928 | $50.52 | +$33.76 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.115 | $11.50 | +$2.50 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.080 | $8.25 | −$2.85 |
| Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.028 | $2.84 | −$4.51 |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.026 | $1.43 | −$21.81 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.76 |
| Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.06 |
| Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.50 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-6.64at 0.310Patriots vs. Broncos
- +$-9.00at 0.090Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$-23.90at 0.340Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 13:40 | Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.0723922902 | $7.35 |
| 08-27 13:33 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1069999922 | $11.10 |
| 08-26 14:43 | Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.50 |
| 08-26 14:42 | Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 05-21 19:28 | Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.0300189781 | $3.06 |
| 05-21 19:28 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.179 | $3.22 |
| 04-18 10:27 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.3079999896 | $16.76 |
| 04-18 10:27 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.4299999944 | $23.24 |
| 04-18 10:13 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 02-03 07:11 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.12999999 | $10.10 |
| 01-30 08:15 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | SELL | 0.101 | $10.10 |
| 01-20 06:39 | Patriots vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.3099999799 | $6.64 |
| 01-18 07:36 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 01-18 07:25 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |