rockscorpio
0x85e902234ad3d580b9484b0000c1565b488ac6ed
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $108.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,967
- Open portfolio
- $52.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,967
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.99at 0.020XRP Up or Down - September 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
- +$49.00at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$49.00at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
- +$48.99at 0.020Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
- +$48.50at 0.030Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:56 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OR-06 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.23 | $5.24 |
| 09-16 21:51 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? | SELL | 0.23 | $27.60 |
| 09-16 21:28 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-03 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.14 | $8.40 |
| 09-16 11:24 | Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000? | SELL | 0.35 | $10.50 |
| 09-16 10:53 | Will total votes cast in the first round of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Georgia be between 4,000,000 and 4,200,000? | SELL | 0.42 | $12.60 |
| 09-16 08:46 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Kansas Attorney General election? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.62 |
| 09-16 06:05 | Will Denver Broncos advance to the AFC Championship Game in the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 09-15 14:24 | Elon Musk signs the Pacing the Frontier statement by September 30? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.75 |
| 09-15 14:01 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $13.25 |
| 09-15 13:53 | Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.1398024012 | $122.96 |
| 09-15 12:42 | Amazon matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.20 |
| 09-15 09:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | SELL | 0.44 | $11.96 |
| 09-15 09:20 | Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $54.00 |
| 09-15 08:58 | Will "Primetime" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | SELL | 0.31 | $18.60 |
| 09-15 08:49 | Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September? | SELL | 0.32 | $19.20 |