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Traders

jaytaotao

0x85de1361efd5c682f6eb7d3a63306bf425373717

Realised P&L
$3.3k
Volume
$211.2k
Markets traded
216
Open portfolio
$313.67

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded216
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.7080.855$154.85+$26.58
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · No0.9200.755$151.00−$33.00
Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9640.833$7.82−$1.23
Grizzlies vs. Warriors · Grizzlies0.3200.000$0.00−$30.40
Trail Blazers vs. Warriors · Trail Blazers0.2200.000$0.00−$116.60
Raptors vs. Pacers · Pacers0.2300.000$0.00−$36.13
Lakers vs. Kings · Kings0.4500.000$0.00−$49.50
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$3.00
Knicks vs. Timberwolves · Knicks0.3500.000$0.00−$185.50
Bulls vs. Cavaliers · Bulls0.2400.000$0.00−$47.99
Wizards vs. Suns · Wizards0.1300.000$0.00−$50.37
Clippers vs. Pistons · Pistons0.5700.000$0.00−$2.65
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$15.00
Warriors vs. Heat · Warriors0.4300.000$0.00−$73.09
Kings vs. Nuggets · Kings0.1700.000$0.00−$17.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 00:28Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.272016$81.60
10-21 23:40Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.3220234723$7.96
10-14 05:37Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.792$158.40
10-14 05:25Saturn FDV above $600M one day after launchSELL0.9591745$287.75
10-08 11:35Saturn FDV above $600M one day after launchBUY0.933$279.90
08-29 09:11Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.7078517272$128.28
07-03 00:13Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0236629443$14.81
07-02 23:27Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.018$19.80
06-29 17:57Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0321614256$0.31
06-29 17:57Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.032$7.92
05-18 11:51Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?SELL0.979$293.70
04-22 01:27Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.81$5.34
04-21 12:07USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.5118096962$107.47
04-11 02:40Neutrl FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.9805220713$69.30
04-11 02:39Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.8129$81.29
Trader jaytaotao · PolyBot Pro