0xBAE7A1b846F2C2e18047fCB760Be0B792a821a5a-1768330554557
0x85d304a35d1d23485ce4a2b19a639f2e6b94ae6f
- Realised P&L
- $-127.57
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.358 | 0.325 | $1.4k | −$146.91 |
| Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.630 | $85.01 | +$8.10 |
| Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.401 | 0.515 | $30.84 | +$6.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.44at 0.660US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 23:57 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2099999998 | $37.14 |
| 09-10 22:21 | Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.4014726498 | $24.04 |
| 09-10 22:20 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | SELL | 0.8066006601 | $24.44 |
| 08-29 23:47 | Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.5699999992 | $76.91 |
| 08-29 23:28 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.3757192317 | $1.5k |
| 08-29 00:02 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |
| 08-28 23:47 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.190645411 | $50.00 |