0xBAE7A1b846F2C2e18047fCB760Be0B792a821a5a-1768330554557
0x85d304a35d1d23485ce4a2b19a639f2e6b94ae6f
- Realised P&L
- $24.53
- Volume
- $5.9k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.376 | 0.475 | $2.2k | +$467.31 |
| Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.556 | 0.590 | $273.82 | +$15.66 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.602 | 0.438 | $145.45 | −$54.55 |
| Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.600 | $80.96 | +$4.05 |
| Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.288 | 0.300 | $31.26 | +$1.26 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.250 | 0.270 | $13.05 | +$0.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.09at 0.422Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?
- +$4.44at 0.660US strike on Colombia by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 09:31 | Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.4 | $20.00 |
| 10-20 10:43 | Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.5742514274 | $200.00 |
| 10-19 08:20 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6499999991 | $187.60 |
| 10-11 11:48 | Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.6099999955 | $34.12 |
| 10-04 20:38 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4099999948 | $14.25 |
| 10-04 20:29 | Will Tung Tzu-wei win the next Keelung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.1844660171 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 23:54 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6259999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 08:19 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.08 |
| 09-26 23:36 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5789999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 23:57 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.2099999998 | $37.14 |
| 09-10 22:21 | Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.4014726498 | $24.04 |
| 09-10 22:20 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | SELL | 0.8066006601 | $24.44 |
| 08-29 23:47 | Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.5699999992 | $76.91 |
| 08-29 23:28 | Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.3757192317 | $1.5k |
| 08-29 00:02 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.6599999954 | $20.00 |