PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xBAE7A1b846F2C2e18047fCB760Be0B792a821a5a-1768330554557

0x85d304a35d1d23485ce4a2b19a639f2e6b94ae6f

Realised P&L
$-127.57
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes0.3580.325$1.4k$146.91
Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election? · Yes0.5700.630$85.01+$8.10
Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election? · Yes0.4010.515$30.84+$6.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 23:57Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.2099999998$37.14
09-10 22:21Will Cheng Chao-fang win the next Hsinchu County Magistrate election?BUY0.4014726498$24.04
09-10 22:20US strike on Colombia by December 31?SELL0.8066006601$24.44
08-29 23:47Will Lin Kuo-chang win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?BUY0.5699999992$76.91
08-29 23:28Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.3757192317$1.5k
08-29 00:02US strike on Colombia by December 31?BUY0.6599999954$20.00
08-28 23:47Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election?BUY0.190645411$50.00