0x85cae445fb31f72d7160d842ffc281879c340e3c
- Realised P&L
- $-58.23
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $68.15
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.672 | 0.675 | $40.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.205 | $27.95 | −$2.05 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.36at 0.526Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$88.12at 0.629Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$67.32at 0.545Will England win on 2026-07-01?
- +$22.60at 0.900France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
- +$0.23at 0.944Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 12:07 | Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6766169047 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 12:01 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.219999999 | $30.00 |
| 09-16 12:00 | Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6699999987 | $30.00 |
| 07-15 20:57 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9324999982 | $6.41 |
| 07-15 20:56 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.1025 | $7.57 |
| 07-15 20:48 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7258184205 | $53.63 |
| 07-15 20:46 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.15 | $21.53 |
| 07-15 20:43 | England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.36 | $33.33 |
| 07-15 20:42 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6799999967 | $33.09 |
| 07-15 20:42 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.0575 | $4.60 |
| 07-15 20:40 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.24 | $25.80 |
| 07-15 20:40 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.6324999967 | $60.00 |
| 07-15 18:55 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4649999975 | $25.00 |
| 07-15 18:54 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4649999975 | $25.00 |
| 07-15 18:53 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | SELL | 0.3425 | $24.82 |