0x85c854bff4f2d4cBBB8440Bf59b45C28Bd850708-1767554912898
0x85c854bff4f2d4cbbb8440bf59b45c28bd850708
- Realised P&L
- $-143.14
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $55.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)89.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.657 | 0.365 | $55.55 | −$44.45 |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes | 0.511 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4? · Up | 0.183 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 4? · Yes | 0.231 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 5? · Yes | 0.284 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in June? · Yes | 0.604 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.17at 0.164Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 3?
- +$33.96at 0.135Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
- +$22.95at 0.314Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2?
- +$17.45at 0.537Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score
- +$14.89at 0.256Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-27 03:06 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 06-25 13:08 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5109999913 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 21:39 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 06-24 21:39 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 21:55 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 06-21 03:50 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 21:41 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.5799999861 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 23:20 | Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Qatar? | SELL | 0.0454403264 | $1.34 |
| 06-18 22:37 | Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Qatar? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 06-18 19:22 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.6599999604 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 18:34 | Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |
| 06-17 02:40 | Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 19:49 | Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3399999633 | $5.00 |
| 06-16 02:43 | Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 17:37 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |