Sklif
0x85c7ea389596de5a846123b992783df1b337448c
- Realised P&L
- $0.55
- Volume
- $249.55
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $10.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? · Yes | 0.692 | 0.615 | $5.33 | −$0.67 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? · No | 0.370 | 0.300 | $3.24 | −$0.76 |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.180 | $0.95 | −$0.05 |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.160 | $0.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 21, 2026? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 8? · Yes | 0.867 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.91at 0.585Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?
- +$3.35at 0.230Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31?
- +$1.49at 0.770Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
- +$0.73at 0.582Will Portugal win on 2026-09-27?
- +$0.34at 0.750Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 12:34 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999935 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 12:30 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.02 |
| 10-26 10:31 | Republican Senate odds dip to 30% by October 31? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 20:42 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.65 |
| 10-25 09:01 | Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | BUY | 0.6889999097 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 20:13 | Will Man I Need – Olivia Dean be the #2 song in the US for 2026? | BUY | 0.6919999829 | $6.00 |
| 10-22 04:45 | Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 04:45 | Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 04:45 | Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 04:43 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 04:37 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.07 |
| 10-21 06:56 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.0412007056 | $1.00 |
| 10-21 06:54 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.959 | $10.04 |
| 10-20 06:38 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.5729999556 | $6.00 |
| 10-20 06:36 | Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.39 | $3.98 |