0x85bee5fead056317cC42b8751687CbE4f109c703-1774383639734
0x85bee5fead056317cc42b8751687cbe4f109c703
- Realised P&L
- $-18.91
- Volume
- $5.7k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $355.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-10-14? · No | 0.738 | 0.725 | $355.25 | −$6.46 |
| Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12? · No | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$438.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.37at 0.759Will ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
- +$126.72at 0.779Will New York City FC win on 2026-10-10?
- +$105.66at 0.750Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-10?
- +$88.66at 0.769Santa Cruz 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Juan Carlos Prado
- +$14.96at 0.369Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 20:29 | Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.74 | $296.74 |
| 10-14 20:28 | Will Houston Dynamo win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.73 | $64.97 |
| 10-13 21:27 | Santa Cruz 2: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Juan Carlos Prado | BUY | 0.76 | $291.84 |
| 10-12 17:40 | Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-12? | BUY | 0.73 | $438.00 |
| 10-11 20:59 | Will ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $635.36 |
| 10-11 17:15 | Will ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $477.00 |
| 10-10 01:17 | Will Angers SCO win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.74 | $312.27 |
| 10-09 19:41 | Will New York City FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.77 | $441.21 |
| 06-22 18:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $5.46 |
| 05-26 09:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $2.99 |
| 05-26 09:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.43 | $5.59 |
| 05-25 17:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $3.30 |
| 05-25 17:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.49 | $7.35 |
| 05-18 14:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | BUY | 0.56 | $7.84 |
| 05-18 11:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $3.30 |