buthhd
0x85bd0737f573100704e87d277180b79d7fe75bbd
- Realised P&L
- $-89.54
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $69.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $69.96 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.70at 0.639Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$13.94at 0.610Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$10.02at 0.530Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
- +$2.00at 0.992Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?
- +$1.14at 0.996Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 11:05 | Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $70.00 |
| 09-27 05:59 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | BUY | 0.9969998849 | $7.00 |
| 09-12 14:06 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 14:04 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9929999708 | $16.00 |
| 09-12 14:03 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.9909999919 | $82.00 |
| 08-07 14:18 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9759999969 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 14:18 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $116.00 |
| 07-21 10:43 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.981999998 | $7.00 |
| 07-17 11:23 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 07-17 11:22 | Will BNB reach $900 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 11:21 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.994999999 | $229.00 |
| 06-23 09:54 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 07:39 | Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.00 |
| 06-04 11:07 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 11:06 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9919998492 | $6.00 |