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Traders

ev345

0x85baa5e4d5f7a38c48309e363fcb8098552ae33a

Realised P&L
$60.61
Volume
$248.9k
Markets traded
396
Open portfolio
$62.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded396
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? · Yes0.5550.328$32.75$22.75
Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026? · No0.5200.180$21.60$40.80
Will AfD win the most seats in 3 German state elections in September 2026? · Yes0.2700.186$7.44$3.36
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes0.1400.038$0.62$1.63
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1150.037$0.29$0.61
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%? · No0.0400.000$0.00$2.69
Israel closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$4.55
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 25m? · No0.2550.000$0.00$38.30
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$0.70
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 2? · No0.5200.000$0.00$10.40
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? · Yes0.2640.000$0.00$39.55
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$6.00
Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Norway vs England FIFA World Cup Match? · No0.3720.000$0.00$44.60
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7? · Yes0.4050.000$0.00$16.20
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 22, 2026? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 01:49Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?SELL0.35$5.14
05-29 09:42Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31?SELL0.88$44.00
05-20 11:57Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?BUY0.84$42.00
05-07 14:34UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?SELL0.73$5.56
04-20 09:58Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.735$220.50
04-09 17:10Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.085$8.50
04-09 17:07Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?SELL0.13$1.39
04-09 16:31Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?SELL0.66$4.26
04-09 10:59Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.21$10.50
04-09 10:51Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.7312266969$109.67
04-09 05:52Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?SELL0.35$3.98
04-02 11:14Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?SELL0.15$7.50
04-02 11:13Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026?SELL0.24$12.00
04-02 11:12Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?SELL0.39$97.50
04-02 11:07Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?SELL0.11$5.50
Trader ev345 · PolyBot