ev345
0x85baa5e4d5f7a38c48309e363fcb8098552ae33a
- Realised P&L
- $60.61
- Volume
- $248.9k
- Markets traded
- 396
- Open portfolio
- $62.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded396
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.590Flyers vs. Bruins
- +$303.63at 0.700Bills vs. Jaguars
- +$263.02at 0.671WNBA: Sun vs. Fever Game 1
- +$119.23at 0.092Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
- +$89.20at 0.055Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 01:49 | Will Yousef Rabhi be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election? | SELL | 0.35 | $5.14 |
| 05-29 09:42 | Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on May 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 05-20 11:57 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 05-07 14:34 | UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.56 |
| 04-20 09:58 | Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.735 | $220.50 |
| 04-09 17:10 | Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.085 | $8.50 |
| 04-09 17:07 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.39 |
| 04-09 16:31 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $4.26 |
| 04-09 10:59 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.21 | $10.50 |
| 04-09 10:51 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.7312266969 | $109.67 |
| 04-09 05:52 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $3.98 |
| 04-02 11:14 | Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15? | SELL | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 04-02 11:13 | Military action against Iran ends by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 04-02 11:12 | Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March? | SELL | 0.39 | $97.50 |
| 04-02 11:07 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $5.50 |