0x85B30f9Dd9Db073d4e3Bcb79082B81b9b88c109F-1773573483128
0x85b30f9dd9db073d4e3bcb79082b81b9b88c109f
- Realised P&L
- $-392.00
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $158.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$153.04at 0.017Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$43.80at 0.785Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
- +$27.30at 0.748Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
- +$23.35at 0.453Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$20.46at 0.748Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 19:11 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | SELL | 0.1 | $6.98 |
| 09-04 08:01 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-04 07:59 | Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? | BUY | 0.7161499673 | $50.00 |
| 09-03 21:48 | Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.3953752428 | $22.39 |
| 09-01 22:25 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | BUY | 0.3599999844 | $12.00 |
| 09-01 22:25 | Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.87 | $11.75 |
| 09-01 17:50 | Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election? | BUY | 0.7399999975 | $60.00 |
| 09-01 06:38 | Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | SELL | 0.999 | $60.91 |
| 08-30 05:01 | Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7399999896 | $10.00 |
| 08-30 05:00 | Will Chewy (CHWY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 09:24 | Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0629999971 | $20.00 |
| 08-27 07:14 | Will Mike Derry win the 2026 Calgary-Shaw provincial by-election? | BUY | 0.8199999984 | $50.00 |
| 08-27 07:11 | Will Denny Tamaki win the 2026 Okinawa gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.706291967 | $40.00 |
| 08-27 07:11 | Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7569721108 | $50.00 |
| 08-27 07:10 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.8699999996 | $70.00 |