Wismon
0x85b0d234f057d3e58e60ed992f5cd6fd7ab9d593
- Realised P&L
- $-21.98
- Volume
- $560.53
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $7.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.98at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
- +$1.82at 0.362Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?
- +$1.19at 0.462Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?
- +$1.14at 0.392Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
- +$0.94at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 06:00 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.99 |
| 09-13 05:56 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999887 | $2.10 |
| 06-19 16:50 | Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.0409999957 | $8.98 |
| 05-27 19:45 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 19:05 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 05-24 22:05 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 05-24 16:18 | Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026? | BUY | 0.2159999214 | $2.00 |
| 05-24 16:10 | Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026? | SELL | 0.1213323529 | $2.89 |
| 05-21 18:09 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.026 | $0.21 |
| 05-21 18:01 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.3509998768 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 17:18 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.2449999167 | $2.00 |
| 05-18 17:15 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.166 | $1.48 |
| 05-18 15:15 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.223999862 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 15:14 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.223999862 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 15:10 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.53 |