0x85b0443e958e60f569937e042081b7bd4b80e207
0x85b0443e958e60f569937e042081b7bd4b80e207
- Realised P&L
- $619.57
- Volume
- $79.9k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $915.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration80.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.021 | $907.34 | +$299.22 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.130 | $7.80 | −$1.20 |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31? · No | 0.883 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$232.80 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$466.88 |
| Megaquake by March 31? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$423.98 |
| Will Hyperliquid reach $36 in March? · No | 0.611 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26? · Yes | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$106.66 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? · No | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.214Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$229.67at 0.469Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$96.96at 0.360Uniswap protocol fee switch enabled by December 31?
- +$64.47at 0.951Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$32.41at 0.510Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 03:04 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $9.00 |
| 10-12 01:03 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0229999999 | $1.80 |
| 09-14 04:49 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 01:44 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0149999968 | $4.54 |
| 08-28 23:25 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0140452841 | $469.89 |
| 07-20 00:16 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0157587871 | $131.00 |
| 07-20 00:09 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.3k |
| 07-12 06:43 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.209999945 | $2.29 |
| 07-12 06:43 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $237.56 |
| 07-12 06:42 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2099999995 | $258.00 |
| 07-12 04:14 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.96 |
| 07-12 04:13 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2059999993 | $206.59 |
| 07-12 04:12 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.199 | $225.84 |
| 07-11 16:32 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2099999438 | $2.28 |
| 07-11 06:17 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2119999994 | $240.50 |