PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x85b0443e958e60f569937e042081b7bd4b80e207

0x85b0443e958e60f569937e042081b7bd4b80e207

Realised P&L
$619.57
Volume
$79.9k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$915.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration80.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.021$907.34+$299.22
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1500.130$7.80−$1.20
Earthquake 7.0 or above by July 31? · No0.8830.000$0.00−$232.80
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2080.000$0.00−$466.88
Megaquake by March 31? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$423.98
Will Hyperliquid reach $36 in March? · No0.6110.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of January 26? · Yes0.5310.000$0.00−$106.66
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-23 03:04Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.15$9.00
10-12 01:03Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0229999999$1.80
09-14 04:49Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.019$1.00
08-29 01:44Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0149999968$4.54
08-28 23:25Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0140452841$469.89
07-20 00:16Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0157587871$131.00
07-20 00:09Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$2.3k
07-12 06:43Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.209999945$2.29
07-12 06:43Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2$237.56
07-12 06:42Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2099999995$258.00
07-12 04:14Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2$1.96
07-12 04:13Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2059999993$206.59
07-12 04:12Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.199$225.84
07-11 16:32Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2099999438$2.28
07-11 06:17Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2119999994$240.50