0x85aEE976540507f0eaf82886e6a02797adAc4887-1779789631100
0x85aee976540507f0eaf82886e6a02797adac4887
- Realised P&L
- $-34.13
- Volume
- $819.10
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $5.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.082 | $4.56 | −$0.44 |
| Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.305 | $0.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.209 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.30at 0.659Arcium FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$4.89at 0.106Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.45at 0.537Arcium FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$3.32at 0.859Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?
- +$1.26at 0.617Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 07:57 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.215 | $10.44 |
| 07-03 09:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.122 | $5.75 |
| 07-01 10:56 | Will United States win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 21:48 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0439999855 | $3.00 |
| 06-29 17:30 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0189999817 | $1.00 |
| 06-29 17:30 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.043 | $3.77 |
| 06-29 10:03 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999894 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 16:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1059999818 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 16:37 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1029999822 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 16:36 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2089999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-28 16:36 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 11:35 | Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 11:33 | Will France win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 11:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.14 |
| 06-24 12:30 | Record crypto liquidation in 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |