LJa7io23MCv954j
0x85a85805bcbdf2e629788adac1420b6b53949281
- Realised P&L
- $16.8k
- Volume
- $1.07M
- Markets traded
- 170
- Open portfolio
- $98.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded170
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.2kat 0.352 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$5.3kat 0.718Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$4.7kat 0.643Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$3.6kat 0.817Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
- +$3.6kat 0.498US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 20:14 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.4998533273 | $274.34 |
| 09-14 17:58 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.5678315408 | $2.2k |
| 09-13 15:29 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.2665359477 | $20.39 |
| 09-13 15:23 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.8468133473 | $1.1k |
| 09-13 06:45 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $53.55 |
| 09-12 17:41 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.9703102531 | $2.4k |
| 09-10 13:27 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8034872177 | $1.9k |
| 09-10 13:25 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $294.82 |
| 09-10 13:24 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6071815102 | $517.93 |
| 09-10 10:06 | Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7279806139 | $450.62 |
| 09-07 05:08 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | SELL | 0.1829898269 | $2.6k |
| 09-06 08:38 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $40.74 |
| 09-06 07:21 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.3396450673 | $3.8k |
| 09-05 18:59 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30? | BUY | 0.6253169371 | $549.18 |
| 09-05 18:26 | Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.6539408867 | $33.19 |