LJa7io23MCv954j
0x85a85805bcbdf2e629788adac1420b6b53949281
- Realised P&L
- $27.6k
- Volume
- $811.5k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $109.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.2kat 0.352 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$5.3kat 0.718Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$3.6kat 0.817Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
- +$3.6kat 0.498US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.755Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 07:54 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.402283787 | $239.74 |
| 08-02 05:33 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.3413321876 | $139.02 |
| 08-02 05:29 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.369930413 | $2.6k |
| 08-01 13:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.4351139576 | $1.3k |
| 08-01 13:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.55 | $944.41 |
| 07-31 15:11 | Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | SELL | 0.17 | $574.84 |
| 07-31 06:32 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.39 | $2.0k |
| 07-31 06:31 | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | SELL | 0.9909425133 | $1.5k |
| 07-31 04:52 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.3714345351 | $3.7k |
| 07-31 04:27 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | BUY | 0.5572264347 | $2.0k |
| 07-31 04:21 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by July 31? | BUY | 0.8299984509 | $4.9k |
| 07-31 04:20 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.982 | $7.3k |
| 07-31 03:55 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.1794067797 | $423.40 |
| 07-31 03:54 | Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $668.78 |
| 07-31 03:53 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.0k |