PolyBot

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Traders

LJa7io23MCv954j

0x85a85805bcbdf2e629788adac1420b6b53949281

Realised P&L
$3.4k
Volume
$1.28M
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$121.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.3130.945$16.3k+$10.9k
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · No0.3790.960$14.9k+$9.0k
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2590.431$12.2k+$4.9k
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.7420.994$11.3k+$2.9k
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · No0.9090.990$9.5k+$772.42
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? · No0.7290.635$9.0k−$1.3k
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.8070.930$6.6k+$871.34
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yes0.5760.895$5.9k+$2.1k
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · Yes0.7610.965$5.6k+$1.2k
Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? · No0.6550.645$4.8k−$77.95
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · Yes0.5000.650$4.3k+$981.19
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? · No0.6790.735$4.2k+$315.13
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? · Yes0.6270.770$3.6k+$668.79
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8600.870$3.6k+$41.09
US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6290.885$2.7k+$789.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 12:00US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?BUY0.5$3.3k
11-01 08:19Israel military action against Syria by November 30, 2026?BUY0.7943015473$631.00
11-01 08:16Israel military action against Syria by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4799291218$809.00
10-31 17:47US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?BUY0.7199999997$95.55
10-30 03:58US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?BUY0.8299999992$699.96
10-30 03:58Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.5756189201$3.8k
10-30 03:53Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.9160091936$3.2k
10-30 03:45Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.991262783$1.3k
10-28 16:56Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.26243134$2.9k
10-28 04:14Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?SELL0.9703729831$7.3k
10-27 20:08Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.86$1.1k
10-27 20:05Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.2500523334$1.1k
10-27 04:05Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?BUY0.7099999999$3.1k
10-27 04:03Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?SELL0.9803327264$3.1k
10-26 10:25Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?BUY0.8853049949$2.3k