0x85A62bc8abc9C6A4ce392f1B4c6a001f8ce9865f-1776245634411
0x85a62bc8abc9c6a4ce392f1b4c6a001f8ce9865f
- Realised P&L
- $189.45
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $24.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.011 | $16.15 | −$3.85 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.135 | 0.112 | $8.26 | −$1.74 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Magic vs. Pistons · Magic | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Magic vs. Pistons · Magic | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Celtics vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.409 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.31 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets · Timberwolves | 0.244 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.90 |
| Spread: Lakers (-4.5) · Lakers | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Timberwolves | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers · Raptors | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks · 76ers | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$106.21at 0.377Lakers vs. Rockets
- +$67.03at 0.356Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$64.17at 0.436Warriors vs. Clippers
- +$61.77at 0.441Rockets vs. Lakers
- +$46.18at 0.30676ers vs. Celtics
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 12:52 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.1349999885 | $10.00 |
| 07-25 11:43 | Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0129999994 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 16:23 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 13:12 | Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.25 | $10.00 |
| 07-11 10:42 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3099999836 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 15:52 | Spread: Knicks (-3.5) | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 06-11 15:51 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0869999847 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 05:35 | Spread: Knicks (-5.5) | BUY | 0.4257425515 | $10.00 |
| 06-06 05:42 | Spread: Spurs (-3.5) | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 06-04 05:48 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 05-31 05:25 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 04:45 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 05-28 05:41 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.284999982 | $10.00 |
| 05-28 05:37 | Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | BUY | 0.2599999839 | $10.00 |
| 05-26 03:52 | Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |