0x85a285b3c60f160d32d50b5fc22a54c6616c0941
- Realised P&L
- $-9.62
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $3.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration50.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.83at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
- +$0.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$0.92at 0.532Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
- +$-0.56at 0.002Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
- +$-0.56at 0.002Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:35 | Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 06:15 | Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-15 12:41 | Will Feyenoord win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 05:42 | Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 09-14 16:14 | Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 17:30 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 08-24 04:31 | Will Lille win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 08:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 17? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 06:30 | Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:48 | Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:48 | Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 17:47 | Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-23 06:32 | Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 12:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 12:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |